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TSCO · Tractor Supply Co /De/

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$35.83 -0.34 (-0.94%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$18.98B
Shares
521.04M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Tractor Supply Co /De/ Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Tractor Supply Co /De/ Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Jan 29, 2026 Audio replay
Jan 29, 2026 56:17 45 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
56:17
Sources
4 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Tractor Supply's Q4 2025 results came in below expectations, with comparable store sales up just 0.3% as discretionary big-ticket categories and the absence of hurricane-related demand pressured results. For 2026, the company guided to net sales growth of 4% to 6% and diluted EPS of $2.13 to $2.23.

Life Out Here 2030 growth initiatives 31 Pet category and PetVet clinics 31 Q4 underperformance and headwinds 19 Customer engagement and consumables strength 10 Store growth and distribution expansion 8 Storm recovery lap and South Atlantic softness 7

Management tone

Balanced

Net tone +10 · moderate hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “Our fourth quarter results came in below our expectations. Results reflected a shift in consumer spending with essential categories remaining resilient while discretionary demand moderated and emergency response was absent versus last year.”
  • “We like the setup we have coming into 2026. The first five or six weeks have been a nice start to the year. We're optimistic about the potential for tax refunds. We're optimistic about the potential for a strong spring after two tough springs.”
  • “2025 was a year of steady progress as we navigated a challenging and uneven retail environment.”
  • “there's a wide range of outcomes we think are allowable for the year. I think we're starting in the right prudent mentality.”

Forward guidance

2 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

4 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $3.90B +3.3% YoY
Gross margin · derived Q4 35.1% -0.1 pp YoY
Net income $1.10B +363.6% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • FY2025 net sales increased 4.3% to $15.52 billion with comparable store sales up 1.2% and diluted EPS of $2.06.
  • Opened 99 Tractor Supply stores in 2025 with robust early new store productivity and continued mid-single-digit distribution center productivity improvements.
  • Neighbor's Club membership represented more than 80% of sales, identified customer counts rose ~2% in Q4, and customer service scores reached all-time highs.
  • Strategic initiatives like Direct Sales are ramping, with management targeting an approximate 40 basis points of comparable sales benefit in 2026.
  • Digital business delivered high single-digit growth in both Q4 and the full year 2025.
  • Q4 effective income tax rate declined to 19.0% from 21.5% in the prior year quarter, boosting net income relative to operating income.

Risks & pressure points

  • Q4 results came in below expectations, with comparable store sales of just 0.3% and operating income down 6.5% to $297.7 million.
  • Absence of emergency response demand and a historically quiet storm season represented an estimated ~100 basis points headwind to comps, most pronounced in the South Atlantic.
  • Big-ticket categories (excluding emergency response) declined high single digits as discretionary demand moderated and the holiday period was highly promotional.
  • Q4 SG&A expenses rose 6.0% to $1.07 billion and increased to 27.5% of net sales from 26.8%, reflecting fixed cost deleverage and planned investments.
  • Gross margin rate compressed to 35.1% from 35.2%, pressured by higher tariffs, incremental promotional activity, and increased delivery-related transportation costs.
  • Management noted a wider range of outcomes for 2026 and acknowledged ongoing retail volatility in the first five to six weeks of the year.

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Jan 29, 2026.

Metric Guided
Capital Expenditures, Net of Sale Leaseback Proceeds table
fiscal 2026
$675M – $725M
Share Repurchases table
fiscal 2026
$375M – $450M

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$117.25M
Dividend / share
$0.24
Full-screen source Call document