BKKT · Bakkt, Inc.
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AI Brief
Q2 FY26 earnings call · Aug 10, 2026TL;DR. Bakkt reported Q2 GAAP net income of $80.8 million driven by a $98.5M non-cash Transchem warrant gain, while reaffirming its ~$2.5 billion full-year 2026 TTV target and expecting adjusted EBITDA break-even in Q4 2026 as six live offerings and DTR-integrated payments ramp. Revenue fell 70% year-over-year on digital asset trading softness, with Q2 TTV of $168.8M requiring a sharp H2 acceleration to hit the full-year target.
- + Reaffirmed full-year 2026 TTV target of approximately $2.5 billion with management confidence
- + Set initial Bakkt Agent MAU target of approximately 25,000 by year-end 2026
- + Expects adjusted EBITDA break-even during Q4 2026
- + Transchem warrants carried at $107.9M fair value versus ~$9.4M paid; Indian regulatory approvals received
- − Total revenue fell 70% year-over-year due to client transitions and digital asset trading softness
- − Operating expenses excluding crypto costs rose 7.9% year-over-year including DTR integration costs
- − Full-year target depends on client integrations and activations currently underway proceeding on plan
AI-generated from the earnings call and 8-K · may contain errors · not investment advice
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceBlended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders SellIllustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA loss non-GAAP | -$11.8M | Q2 2026 | — |
GAAP → non-GAAP reconciliationGAAP Net income (loss) from continuing operations 80.84M
+1.05M Depreciation and amortization
-547K Interest (income) expense, net
+5K Income tax expense
+1.89M Share-based and unit-based compensation expense
-1.42M Change in fair value of warrant liability
-98.5M Change in fair value of Transchem warrant
+1.25M Impairment of long-lived assets
+3.63M Transaction-related advisory fees
= Adjusted EBITDA loss -11.8M
|
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| Strategic Asset Value | $118.5M | as of June 30, 2026 | — |
| Total Transacting Volume | $410M | six months ended June 30, 2026 | — |
| Total Transacting Volume - digital asset trading activity non-GAAP | $161.9M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Total Transacting Volume - payments activity non-GAAP | $6.8M | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Software - Infrastructure — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BKKT
this stock
Bakkt, Inc.
|
$365.06M | -23.2% | -32.1% | — | 13.6% |
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
|
$3.83T | +6.0% | +6.9% | 28.8 | 0.9% |
|
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
|
$455.79B | +6.9% | +56.2% | 162.1 | 2.5% |
|
ORCL
Oracle Corp
|
$414.55B | -29.2% | +17.3% | 21.5 | 1.7% |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc
|
$306.54B | +115.1% | +29.0% | — | 2.7% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionPerformance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKKT | -15.1% | +3.8% | -5.2% | -1.3% | -23.2% |
| SPY | -0.4% | -0.2% | +12.4% | +0.2% | +12.0% |
| vs SPY | -14.7% | +3.9% | -17.6% | -1.5% | -35.3% |