Operator
Greetings. Welcome to the Firefly Aerospace third quarter 2026 financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal remarks. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please note this conference call is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Michael Sheets, Firefly's Director of Investor Relations. Michael, you may begin.
Speaker 11
Thank you, Carmen. Hello there. I'm Michael Sheets, and welcome to Firefly's third quarter financial results call. I'm pleased to be joined on the call by CEO Jason Kim and CFO Darren Ma as we report for the period ending September 30, 2026. Today's call will include forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements the company will make about its future financial and operating performance, growth strategy, and market outlook. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause the actual results and trends to differ materially are set forth in our annual and quarterly reports filed with the SEC. Firefly assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their respective dates. Also, in this call we will discuss both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in the third quarter 2026 earnings release. Unless otherwise stated, financial information referenced on this call will be non-GAAP. Our earnings press release, SEC filings, and a replay of today's call can be found on our Investor Relations website at Investors.FireflySpace.com. Now, I'll turn the call over to Jason.
Thank you, Michael, and welcome to our third quarter 2026 earnings call. As tomorrow is Veterans Day, I thank our country's service members for their dedication and sacrifices in supporting our nation. Firefly is proud to employ more than 200 veterans like myself. And we are honored to work on a wide variety of critical national security missions that support our warfighters and allies. Before I get into our business updates, I will discuss the recent transformative deal we signed with AST SpaceMobile. Our intellectual property, supply, and services agreement valued at more than $1.3 billion, Thank you. March is the beginning of a three-year partnership, bringing together two bold, complimentary Texas companies. For those unfamiliar, AST is building a space-based constellation of satellites to provide a global cellular broadband direct to everyday smartphones. The company is working with more than 60 mobile network operators around the world and has launched over a dozen satellites to date. But launch is highly constrained, with need for deployment of proliferated constellations like AST's direct-to-device satellites. This agreement is yet another tremendous validation of our technology. When an experienced operator like AST SpaceMobile evaluates the options available and chooses Firefly, it represents a powerful external endorsement of our world-class engine technology. Based on our proven patented tap-off cycle, we have spent years developing and refining our next-generation RAND engines. Notably, this agreement is complementary to our existing launch business by design. ASD's vehicle will be purpose-built to launch their own satellite constellation, while Firefly continues to serve the broader commercial and government launch market. Fundamentally, this deal does not change Firefly's identity. We are a vertically-integrated space and defense company with diversified lines of business. We build and operate launch vehicles, lunar landers, spacecraft platforms, and national security software. This partnership leverages one of our core competencies and is a natural extension of our fundamental business. Our commitment to our core launch services, Alpha and Eclipse, is unwavering. As a non-dilutive agreement, this more than $1.3 billion collaboration provides new fuel for Firefly's growth, allowing us to expand rapidly in several areas. We will expand our infrastructure and workforce as well as deepen our supply chain. We are building multiple new test bays at our Rocket Ranch to increase our launch vehicle production and testing capacity. We are adding more team members dedicated to our launch programs. We will make bulk purchases of long-lead materials, deepening the resilience and cost efficiency of our supply chain, and the new capacity will help further scale the bandwidth of our engineering core. Under the terms of this partnership, Firefly will build, test, and deliver a total of 27 Miranda first-stage engines and nine Vera upper-stage engines, making up three complete flight sets. These engines will power AST's new reusable three-stage heavy lift launch vehicle designed to carry 20 metric tons to low-Earth orbit. Critically, Firefly retains full ownership of the intellectual property associated with our engines. We are licensing the technology to AST, who will independently configure the engines for their own vehicle's mission profile and integration requirements. When a company sets out to build its own rocket, the engine is the hardest, highest-stakes decision they make. ASD chose Firefly, and that tells you everything you need to know about where our technology stands. This agreement is a true win-win. ASD gets control of their own launch schedule. Firefly gets steady, non-dilutive funds to reinforce our launch services production. Strengthen our supply chain and infrastructure, grow our team, and push the boundaries of what is possible in space. I would now like to hand the call to Darren to discuss selected financial terms of this agreement.
Thank you, Jason. This partnership is transformative from both an operational and financial perspective. This deal is broken into three primary parts worth $1.3 billion. First, There is an approximately $800 million in cash in AST stock associated with the Miranda and Vera engine IP licenses to AST. The IP license is broken out into $400 million in cash and 10 million to 14 million shares of AST Class A common stock, as determined by a Ford BWAP calculation. These shares are also subject to various lockup periods. Second, there is $250 million in support services. Leveraging our team's expertise. And third, the remaining $250 million is for delivering engines to support their first three flights. Revenue for this contract will be recognized in two parts. The fair value of the IP portion of the contract and support services will be recognized over time on a percentage of completion basis. The fair value of the engine deliveries will be recognized as a point in time upon delivery to the customer. Please note that revenues recognized from this agreement will be included in our launch business. Now, let me walk through how operational milestones will help shape the revenue ramp for this program. Program begins immediately, but revenue will start in earnest next year, ramping gradually as we hire and execute toward contract milestones. Engine deliveries will begin ramping in year two of the agreement, and we expect this will lead to revenue increasing in the second year and continue ramping through the third year. From a gross margin perspective, the corresponding revenue associated with the intellectual property agreement and support services will steadily expand our gross margin profile. On the cost side, we expect to make significant investments through research and development, as well as CAPAC and infrastructure related to this agreement. We expect these investments will generate returns in the long term as they benefit our existing launch services business. The agreement represents a tremendous source of non-dilutive funding for Firefly that bolsters our future, partners us with an industry leader, and enhances our financial profile. Now, I will turn the call back over to Jason for our third-quarter business updates.
Thank you, Darren. We are closing the year with momentum, adding new contracts and achieving milestones across our programs. Our added wins growth are backlogged to a record total of $1.7 billion at the end of the third quarter, further supporting our long-term growth trajectory. We opened and moved into the clean room expansion at our spacecraft campus, which quadrupled our square footage for assembly, integration, and testing of both blue ghost landers and electro-orbiters. Our expansion comes at an ideal time. As we heard this weekend, NASA is full speed ahead on the moon. We previously talked with you all about building larger landers. That time is now with Clips 2, and we are thrilled to get started. Larger cargo landers, which can help deliver bigger payloads such as light terrain vehicles, will expand our ability to support moon-based operations. Onboarding to this $10 billion program positions us to compete for and deliver task orders. Firefly is creating the railroad to the moon. The vehicles we build will deliver and support many of the capabilities needed to enable a permanent lunar presence. And the moon is not just about exploration and discovery. The U.S. is locked in a space race with China, and we equally understand that the moon is the ultimate high ground. To quote a recent report published by the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency, China portrays its interest in cislunar space as peaceful, but PRC officials have also discussed pursuing military capabilities in cislunar space, end quote. The Pentagon is responding to this adversarial threat with funding. U.S. Space Force Major General Stephen Purdy, who leads the branch's acquisition efforts, is urging commercial providers to support national security efforts on and around the moon. Our fleet, the spacecraft, is ready to support. For those new to Firefly and as a reminder for others, we are a space and defense company delivering innovative hardware and software to perform the hardest missions in space for national security, exploration, and commercial technology. Our hardware is represented by our spacecraft, the Blue Ghost Lunar Landers and Electra satellite orbiters, and our launch vehicles, the Small Lift Alpha and Medium Lift Eclipse. Our spacecraft solutions platform also includes our software portfolio of AI-enabled offerings, which are proven in national security operations, as well as autonomous guidance and navigation systems. We are tenaciously focused on and prioritizing safety, quality, and reliability as we scale up our hardware and software product deliveries. Now turning to our business updates, we are progressing towards the launch of Alpha Flight 8 in the first quarter of 2027. We received direction from a national security customer that required a readjustment to our launch manifest. I am proud of the national security demand for Alpha, as Alpha is uniquely suited to dedicated orbits for missions such as Hypersonics, Tactically Responsive Space, and Golden Dome. We did not make this decision lightly, as our preference was to launch before the end of the year. However, we are proud to have the confidence from the customer to support this critical mission. Additionally, we have been in this position before, having conducted a similar manifest rescheduling when we launched a historic Victus Knox responsive launch on Alpha Flight 3. As always, timing depends on variable external factors, such as customer readiness, range availability, weather conditions, and more. We will conduct a thorough review of our post-flight 8 data to ensure any lessons are in flow into subsequent launches. This consequential launch represents the debut of our Block 2 vehicle configuration, a series of improvements that we have been developing to increase manufacturing rate and enhance reliability. We are focused on the debut of Block 2 because it's not just about Flight 8. Back at the Rocket Ranch, we have structures and engine chambers for Flight 9, Flight 10, Flight 11, and Flight 12 as we step into an increasing launch cadence in 2027. All the structures and tanks for Flight 9 are complete, with all four reaver engines and the lightning engine in assembly. The structures for Flight 10 complete approved testing. We've completed manufacturing of all tanks and structures for Flight 11, and the composites for Flight 12 are in production. All of these structures were made using our automated fiber replacement machine, on which we have continuously refined our processes over the past few years. Our AFP is producing multiple structures simultaneously. To support these launches and more, we are ramping up engine chamber output. We currently have 24 Weaver engine chambers in county in production. Block 2 is about unlocking rate for Alpha, and we're seeing those improvements reflected on the factory floor. I know folks are eager to hear about our plans for Alpha's launches next year, but right now we're focused on the debut of Block 2. We will give our 2027 launch target during our fourth quarter earnings call. Demand for alpha remains the most supply constraint it has ever been in our company's history. We have more customers than we have rockets available in the near-term manifest. This is a very good problem to have, and it reinforces our investment production capacity. We're stepping into rate of block 2. During the quarter, we announced our first contract with SSE Space for two Alpha launches from S-Range Space Center in Sweden. This is a landmark deal, representing our first European launch contracts. We are looking forward to serving European customers in a domestic capacity as we build our global franchise. Firefly also added a third hypersonic task order for Alpha from a confidential customer, as well as extended our Lockheed Martin multi-launch agreement. We also added another great commercial customer signing Japanese Synthetic Aperture Radar Satellite Company's Inspective for up to 10 launches through 2030. ALFO will double Inspective's deployment pace per launch by delivering two satellites to orbit per mission. We will launch their satellites from both our California and Virginia launch facilities, giving Inspective flexible access to a range of orbital inclinations. A few weeks ago, I visited our future launch site at NASA's Wallet Flight Facility. I got to see firsthand the progress we are making to prepare for launches of Alpha and Eclipse. This specialized launch pad will be able to launch two different vehicles from the same location. Our Fireflies are working on the launch adapters, the Strongback, the Launch Control Center, and the commodity systems. I spend time meeting with local authorities, partners, and NASA leadership, as well as our own employees. It was great to see the work we're getting done toward launching from Virginia no earlier than next year. Finally, during the third quarter, Firefly onboarded to NASA's spacecraft processing operations contract. As one of the few commercial payload processing facilities at Vandenberg Space Force Base, this contract allows us to further support NASA missions. We provide flexible infrastructure and services to Olivia Balnex for our partners while unlocking a new revenue opportunity that will utilize our existing facilities. Moving to Eclipse, our reusable medium launch vehicle in development alongside Northrop Grumman, we've made important progress in the quarter. I'm pleased to say our Miranda engine qualification campaign is underway. To date, we have completed more than 175 hot fire tests. Totaling 4,230 seconds of cumulative runtime across 20 engines. Miranda's unrivaled development from clean sheet to quail campaign is a testament to the dedicated work of our team. It's been made possible by the lessons learned from Alpha, as the common tap-off cycle engine technology allows us to move faster in bringing this critically needed vehicle to market. Fireflies have been hard at work testing out the critical technologies we need for reusability, including multiple relights and power throttling. We have simultaneously reduced risk and compressed schedule in developing this powerful next-generation engine. The data we've gathered from Miranda's development gives us high confidence in the engine's performance and reliability. Now that we're in call, we are able to further proceed with manufacturing and assembling the Miranda engines for the first Eclipse launch. Alongside our co-developer, Northrop Grumman, we're pleased to see close making progress toward the launch pad. I am enhancing the program team with added technical experts, as well as investing in infrastructure to prepare to ramp up at close production. The demand for launch in this segment remains at all-time highs, with capacity more constrained than ever, so I'm actively working to make sure our team has the tools, people, and investments needed to bring Eclipse to market. The world needs Eclipse more than ever. Turning to Blue Ghost, our lunar program carried significant momentum through the third quarter. We are executing on five moon missions in parallel, a milestone that demonstrates the maturity and repeated ability of our lunar architecture. Each of these missions is at a different stage of development, and the team is managing this portfolio with tremendous discipline. One of the most significant milestones of the quarter was the completion of our new clean room facility at our Austin, Texas campus. We enjoyed hosting multiple partners at the ribbon cutting, including leadership from the Texas Space Commission, NASA's moon base team, and both state and local representatives. The ribbon had hardly touched the ground before we began moving in multiple spacecraft for NASA and the Department of War, making the cleanroom immediately operational. This is no small upgrade. This is a multi-bay facility that is purpose-built to enable simultaneous integration of up to a dozen lunar landers and orbital vehicles, giving us flexibility to add even more spacecraft contracts. The new clean room is foundational to our moon base ambitions. We are scaling production to meet the growing NASA pipeline as well as support commercial demand. On Blue Dose Mission 2, known as Riders to the Dark, we are getting closer to being launch ready. The lander completed proof testing during the third quarter, which is a final test to verify the full integrated fluid system is complete with pressurization and leak checks. We stacked both the lander and the electric transfer vehicle, installed electronics on the lander, and powered it on. Riders to the Dark is one of the most complex multi-stage missions to the moon to date, with a spacecraft stack that is 22 feet tall. We are proud to carry commercial and government payloads representing the U.S., Australia, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, and the United Kingdom. We expect the second Blue Ghost mission will launch next year, with specific timing dependent on delivery of our spacecraft to Florida and confirmation of the launch window. Following Riders to the Dark, Blue Ghost's mission to the Grutheisen Domes is progressing through flight hardware production. The team has transitioned from design to build, and the hardware has taken shape with launch target in 2028. Joining the Grutheisen Domes mission is the new customer StarCloud, which signed an agreement with Firefly during the third quarter to fly an advanced AI compute payload on the electric vehicle. Together, StarCloud and Electra will look to validate the core capabilities of the future data center in the moon's orbit, which would support lunar surface and overall infrastructure. StarCloud's processor will ingest data from Firefly's Solux Autonomous Vision System, a critical technology we added as part of our acquisition of Space NG earlier this year. Our star cloud deal is a significant validation of our thesis that the moon is a platform for commercial infrastructure, not just a destination for government science. We're bringing together space-based compute and the system in our economy. We're not stopping there either, as SOLEX will support other commercial surface efforts related to the moon-based program. I will share more on those in the future. Our Blue Ghost mission to the lunar south pole is making progress, with the team completing the critical design review to progress the mission's development. This is another hugely exciting mission as we pursue potentially groundbreaking resource discoveries, such as looking for water ice that unlocks key moon-based resources on the surface like breathable oxygen, rocket propellant, and science. Firefly also signed Xeno Power Systems as a commercial payload customer to our accelerated Blue Ghost mission of the moon's near side. Xeno's radioisotope heater payload is a remarkable cutting edge technology, which is critical to a sustained lunar presence. Onboard Blue Ghost, Xeno will seek to demonstrate its survive the night package, which is intended to allow spacecraft and infrastructure to operate through the extreme cold of the long lunar night, which reaches below negative 275 degrees Fahrenheit. NASA's Moonbase program is seeding the lunar economy. Our missions have bolt-on opportunities and hosted payload options for commercial customers, which improve each mission's gross margins and unlock additional revenue sources. Switching to ELECTRA, the Moonfall mission passed through preliminary design review, verifying our spacecraft's design to support this flagship NASA mission. As part of our $75 million subcontract, we are collaborating closely with NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory to deliver their drones to low lunar orbit. This mission is a new frontier in lunar surface mobility and exploration, and we're excited to be part of it alongside one of the world's premier research institutions. I recently visited NASA's JPL and met with Director Dave Gallagher. During our fireside chat in front of the JPL workforce, which you can watch online, I love the way Dave described the drones Electra is delivering, quote, they are going to be tremendous scouts for the resources you need, potential moon-based locations, and there is a bit of national security flavor to this as well, end quote. During the third quarter, Electra added another contract with the Department of War's Defense Innovation Unit. We are designing a mission that would see ELECTRA provide de-orbit services. Once we complete the preliminary design review, Firefly will be eligible to compete for the next phase, which could include launch and spacecraft operations for a low-Earth orbit mission. We are also fired up to have won a spacecraft subcontract to support NASA's Skyfall mission to Mars. This is our first effort supporting a mission to the Red Planet and another statement mission for JPL. And our spacecraft for the DIU's Project Cinecone is entering integration and testing as we prepare for launch next year. Recently, we completed testing the deployment of the folding solar panels for this Electra maneuverability mission. The orbiter is now at our spacecraft clean room to undergo the remaining steps of testing and integration. And finally, our subcontract with Benchmark Space Systems on the Department of War's DARPA LASA program is progressing to the next phase after competitive down-select. Benchmark advanced its feasibility and design effort for DARPA, and we're pleased to support this lunar mission with our Solex Autonomous Vision Navigation System. Now, let's talk about SciTech. Recently, I had the privilege to visit the Forge Operations Floor at Buckley Space Force Base in Colorado. There, I witnessed an amazing group of Space Force Guardians and contractors dedicated to serving our nation and our allies. I saw FORGE operations in action with Firefly's SciTech team supporting. It made me very proud to see how we are directly supporting advanced processing of missile warning and tracking data using our in-house AI capability to force-multiply the Space Force's work. When I spoke to high ranking guardians, they told me that Forge has been delivering results that not only the Space Force in our nation appreciate, they get phone calls from allied nations that they are grateful for the lifesaving capabilities. These same guardians also said they see fireflies kit abilities that no other contractor provides. FORGE continues to be one of our most consequential programs. The current geopolitical environment, including ongoing conflict in the Middle East and evolving global missile threats, has only reinforced the strategic importance of FORGE's capabilities to our government customers. FORGE is operational, it is performing, and the demand signals from our customers remain strong. During the third quarter, we added another operational milestone for FORGE, adding data to the system to the Space Force's Geo Wide Field of View space vehicle. On a personal note, this milestone is a meaningful moment as I built and operated that geostationary orbit satellite in my prior role. The spacecraft adds wide area situational awareness and augmenting time critical detection capability, further enhancing the FORGE system. We are steadily executing operational advances on Forge in just the last few weeks, adding new technical intelligence capabilities. Because our engineers are co-located with Space Force operations, we are able to respond directly to customer needs and advance the technology at unique speed. And now we're further diversifying our capabilities and revenue into adjacent opportunities and programs of record. During the third quarter, we won a $94 million Space Force contract under the Ground-Based Radar Digitalization, or GBARD, program to support work overhauling legacy defense systems. GBARD applies the FORGE playbook to radar modernization. We onboarded to the $981 million Space Force IDIQ contract for Nightstar. This allows us to compete for task orders that will support advanced phase-based tests and training operations through 2032. This represents another example of the synergies between our hardware and software capabilities. And we extend to Firefly's Air Force contract for the Air Battle Management System Data Fusion Program, which benefits from decades of expertise in sensor integration and multi-source data correlation. Under this ADMS contract, we are integrating a new class of counter-unmanned aerial system sensor feeds into the cloud-based command and control system. CBC2 is a central component of the Air Force Battle Network, so we're pleased to support
Speaker 9
integration of yet another data stream into the system.
Since then, we received Air Force System Interoperability Test Certification for the CBC2 system, a critical program milestone that establishes readiness ahead of operational acceptance. Additionally, during the third quarter, we onboarded to a $66 million IDIQ for work on our instrumentation and testing group, while also executing a test campaign for a missile defense customer. All in, our advanced data and artificial intelligence business is executing well and steadily broadening its scope into new programs of record. We are building toward a future where we provide our customers an on-demand app store with missile warning, space domain awareness, position navigation and timing, targeting, and exploration services. With that business summary, I'll turn it over to Darren for a review of the third quarter financials.
Thank you, Jason. We delivered our second consecutive quarter of more than $100 million in revenue. That brought year-to-date revenue to $309.2 million, representing growth of 203% compared to the first nine months of the prior year. Our third quarter results demonstrate the strength across Firefly's diversified portfolio and reinforce our strategy to build a fully integrated space and defense technology company. Third quarter revenue of $110.7 million represented a strong 259% increase year over year and compares with $30.8 million in the same quarter a year ago. Notably, our third quarter performance was achieved without a revenue benefit recognized in the second quarter from an accelerated national security hardware order. Within total revenue, spacecraft accounted for $106 million and launch was $4.7 million. Our third quarter results demonstrate the strength and resilience of our business model. To briefly explain our revenue recognition model, the spacecraft solutions business generally recognizes revenue over time under each contract on a percentage completion basis. For the launch business, revenue for Alpha is recognized at a point in time when the launch occurs, while Eclipse revenue is recognized over time based on program milestones as part of our Northrop Grumman partnership. Eclipse will shift to point-in-time revenue when the vehicle is operational. We ended the third quarter with a total backlog of approximately $1.7 billion. Up from $1.5 billion last quarter and up from $1.3 billion for the same quarter a year ago, driven primarily by the ground-based radar digitization award, additional hardware server orders, and an additional alpha hypersonics task order. The majority of our third quarter revenue represented backlog conversion, but over $300 million in new customer contracts more than replenished the revenue recognized within the quarter. Backlog remains one of our strongest indicators of future revenue growth for our business. Third quarter gap gross margin was 22.9%, compared with 20.3% in the prior quarter. The sequential improvement was driven by favorable product mix as lower margin hardware server purchases weighed on Q2. As a reminder, the primary gap to non-gap adjustments to operating expenses are stock-based compensation expense, One-time transaction-related expenses, and the amortization of intangibles. Operating expenses for the third quarter were $104 million, compared with $94.3 million in the second quarter. The increase represents R&D investments in our next-generation launch vehicles, bringing online Alpha Block II and ramping up Eclipse development. Operating loss was $78.7 million, compared with a loss of $70.4 million in the second quarter. Our net loss in the third quarter was $75.4 million, or a net loss of $0.45 per share. This compares with a net loss of $67.7 million in the prior quarter, or a net loss of $0.42 per share last quarter. The third quarter net loss per share figures were calculated using a weighted average share count of $168.4 million. Due to a series of option exercises throughout the period, our third quarter ending share count was 171.6 million shares, and we expect this number will increase by about 1 million shares per quarter. Thought-based compensation expense was $15.3 million in the third quarter, compared with $17 million in the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter was a loss of $69.5 million, compared with a loss of $61.2 million in the second quarter. Our balance sheet remains strong, ending the quarter with a total liquidity of $839.7 million. This consists of $534.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, and $305 million of available capacity from our revolving credit facility, which remains undrawn. Capital investments in the third quarter were $15.6 million, compared with $24.7 million sequentially. The sequential decline primarily came from the completion of investments related to test upgrades to support Alpha Block II, the spacecraft cleanroom expansion, and other infrastructure improvements to support our growth objectives. Free cash flow was an outflow of $85.3 million, compared with an outflow of $106.3 million in the second quarter. As a reminder, the Q2 number included the final SciTech acquisition-related payment of approximately $24 million. Regarding our revenue outlook for 2026, we are updating the 2026 revenue range to $440 million to $450 million, from our prior range of $420 million to $450 million. This increases the midpoint of our guidance to $445 million from $435 million. In closing, Our financial strength rests on a diversified revenue base, an expanding backlog, and substantial liquidity of support discipline investment. We continue to identify ways to optimize our programs by leveraging our core technologies while retaining the capital efficient discipline that has accelerated our development in just nine years as a company. To highlight a few examples from our playbook, we are leveraging the proven Blue Ghost Lander for subsequent missions. And deployed a lift and shift strategy, which leverages many years of investment in the Forge missile defense system, unlocking adjacent opportunities like GBARD and ABMS. Additionally, we've tapped non-dilutive funding sources, such as the Texas Space Commission's grant program, for a clean room expansion. The AST agreement is the latest example of this playbook. Our Miranda and Vera engines represent proprietary technology that very few companies in the world possess. Now, we are leveraging and monetizing that technology. With that, I'll turn the call back to Jason.
Thank you, Darren. As I think about where Firefly stands today, three things come to mind. First, Alpha production is ramping up. The factory is humming with Block II manufacturing and assembly, giving me confidence. After Flight 8 launches, Alpha flights 9, 10, 11, and 12 are right behind it. We made upgrades to our test stands, our Vandenberg facilities, and are making progress on both our Virginia and Sweden launch sites. And we added new international customers thanks to the deals with SSE Space and Suspective. Second, our platform is expanding. We added multiple commercial partnerships for our upcoming lunar missions. The DIU deorbit contract validates another growth vector for Electra's orbital services. Forge validates the national importance of what SciTech brings to the Firefly platform, and our agreement with ASP SpaceMobile validates the extreme scarcity value of our propulsion technology. Third, our team is world class. They have delivered these results every quarter and are the reason Firefly wins. Fireflies are bold, resilient, and passionate, and I am proud to support them. Our team has led Firefly to land on the moon, launch in 24-hour call-ups, and provide operational no-fail AI defense software. We have a robust, diversified space and defense business. Every quarter, the dressable market for what we are building grows larger. Thank you for joining today's call. Michael, back to you.
Speaker 11
Thank you, Jason. We will be attending multiple investor events in November and December, and we look forward to seeing many of you in the coming weeks. Operator, we're ready to take questions.
Operator
Thank you. And as a reminder, to ask a question, simply press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To remove yourself, press star 11 again. One moment, please, for our first question. It comes from Sheila Kayaoglu with Jeffries. Please proceed.
Thank you, and good afternoon, guys. Lots of developments this quarter, so two questions, if that's okay. With Firefly now onboarded to the $10 billion CLPS to IBIQ, can you just talk about how the scope of that opportunity changes relative to the existing program, and maybe more specifically, what additional mission types or larger payload classes can Firefly now address? Thank you.
Hey, Sheila. We're very pumped and excited about onboarding onto Eclipse 2. Just, you know, going back to next year, last year, we were the first company to successfully land on the moon, and we did that with our Blue Dose Mission 1, which was part of the $4 billion Eclipse 1.0 program. There's still a few outstanding bids there that we're still waiting for as well on CLPS 1.0. But CLPS 2, really excited because we began design work on that ahead of time, and a lot of the fundamental technologies that allowed us to successfully land on the moon are also embedded on our larger landers. And so that gives a lot of confidence to NASA and to Firefly as well as some of our commercial customers that are both on opportunities. And so we're really excited. Some of the things that we can launch with the larger cargo lander is things like light terrain vehicles. I think you remember that Carlos from the Moonbase program mentioning that they awarded a couple of those light terrain vehicles already. So we're excited about that opportunity to take mobility to the moon. There's also other cargo that can help sustain a permanent human presence on the moon. If you remember, the moon is about the whole surface area is about the size of Africa. And then the usable part of the South Pole, which we believe has all the resources like water, ice, and other resources to sustain life, is about the size of Washington, D.C. And so we're excited about those missions and supporting any cargo that helps with the permanent presence on the moon with humans. And then there's a lot of other science that we can gather as well. But I'm really particularly excited about manufacturing on the moon as well. There's a lot of resources like water ice I mentioned that could be converted into propellants. There's some rare earth minerals that could potentially be used for manufacturing. The regolith itself can be used and converted into different fabrication as well. And then there's a whole economy, a commercial economy that can be built upon what NASA and other Global agencies are doing. But in addition to that, we're also seeing a lot of demand on the national security side. You saw that the Space Force stood up a whole organization to coordinate things in cis-lunar space, led by Major General Stephen Purdy. And so we expect that there will be more and more, you know, maybe it starts out with 10% scope. You know, the moon base is bigger than just the $30 billion opportunity that NASA is talking about with the moon base. You know, there's potentially 10% of what goes to the moon might be Space Force. It might go up to 25%. We already saw requests for information for up to five satellites to go and look around the center of space. And those are the kinds of things that we've invested in with our acquisition of Space NGE, with the vision autonomous navigation camera systems that we have now in-house. We're able to deploy that, things with like the Oculus service to provide space domain awareness, even beyond just space exploration.
That's really helpful, long-term color. If I could ask one more, maybe a little bit more short-term. As we think about the CURL 26 side-end, we waived the low end of the revenue guide, but Flight 8 is now moving to Q1. Maybe can you help us bridge what's driving the revenue uptick, and are any alpha launches assuming Q4 revenue? Thank you.
Yeah, hi, Sheila. This is Darren. So, for the remainder of this year, there's definitely some moving parts there. There's strength in the... Spacecraft business, you know, we're working on five moon programs all in parallel, and there's strong demand on the AI software solution side, really offset by some of the revenue impact on launches Jason discussed. One of the strengths of our business model is that we have a diversified portfolio that generates revenues, and basically the AST deal also adds to this multiple of revenue streams that we already have in place.
Operator
Thank you so much. Thank you. Our next question comes from Edison Yu with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed.
Speaker 9
Hi. Congratulations on the deal with AST, and thank you for taking our questions. I wanted to ask about the AST, the REVREC. I'm sure you guys know better than anyone, right? Rocket programs, historically, probably average three to five year delay. If there's any sort of delay on their end, has nothing to do with you, does that impact the REVREC at all, if we think, you know, in the next couple of years?
Hey, Edison. This is Darren. Now, I mean, when you look at the revenue recognition for this program, it's broken up into two parts. The IP portion is tied into the services portion, which we'll be recognizing as we perform over the three-year time period, and then the engine deliveries will also be recognized as we deliver the engine. So if there is any delay on their side, I don't believe it has any impact on us in terms of revenue recognition.
Speaker 9
Okay. And then just a follow-up on also on the deal. You mentioned, I think, in the prepared remarks that the gross profit margin contribution is helping expand. In any sense, how we can think about just the incremental margin? Is this basically kind of almost pure margin? Is there some, like, small extent to just how to think about it, you know, as we kind of layer in all this revenue?
Yeah, I think the way to think about it is when you look at our gross margin, you know, right now we're in the mid-20s. And because the IP portion of it is tied closely to the services and recognized at the same time, that will provide incremental gross margin expansion as we execute on this deal. But there will be some gross margin expansion associated with the contract. Great. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Christine Leibwag with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed.
Hi, this is Kyle Benvenuto on for Christine. Thank you for taking my question, and congrats on all the progress this quarter. I wanted to ask about SciTech and the outlook for the business. First, with that $94 million G-BART award and onboarding to the $981 million Nightstar IDIQ, extending the Forge playbook into the adjacent programs of record. How should we think about SciTech's organic growth heading into 2027? And how much could Nightstar task orders and other new programs contribute relative to the existing Forge base? And then second, as the business scales, you previously discussed moving more of SciTech's work towards fixed price contracts. So how far along is that shift today, and how much margin uplift do you see as programs like Forge move from cost-plus development into reputable software-driven deployments? Thank you.
Yeah, I'll try to unpack all the multiple questions, but I am super excited about Psycetic just like you are. I'll go back to Forge. Forge is built upon a foundation of over 45 years of algorithm development specifically for national security and more specifically for missile warning and missile tracking. And so when you look at the Forge program, it's, you know, an 800. Million dollar program and counting total total value. And, you know, that program is doing no fail operational missions right now. I was at the floor, the mission operations floor, and it was eye-watering what SciTech is doing in support of That mission, helping to save lives of our warfighters and our allies, a lot of the work that's on there, both the data center hardware work and the framework that's applied to it, and the mission applications for missile warning and missile tracking, a lot of that is transferable, and you can lift and shift that capability into things like winning ground-based radar digitization program. Now, what we did was we lifted and shifted the framework in this case, and it helped us accelerate our capabilities compared to the landscape, and we were able to win the phase one, which is around the $94 million first phase. There's a lot of upside opportunities there. It could be around $400 to $500 million of upside, but we're focused on working with our team that we've assembled to provide an asymmetric capability to modernize the ground-based radar legacy programs so that we can provide more missile warning, missile tracking, and space domain awareness for the warfighters. So that's one example. There is growth upside opportunity there. But then I'm also excited about lifting and shifting, you know, the things we learned from both Forge and G-Bar into other types of areas like position navigation, timing, air moving target indicator, ground moving target indicator, and space domain awareness. So a lot of those kinds of algorithms are very transferable, and they're proven in battlefield today. And we're using AI, we're improving AI. So we're really excited about those opportunities. And then in terms of firm fixed price contracts, you know, that's been a movement for a few years now. And that's why a lot of the Space Force migrated to these other transactional authorities or these OTAs, which are primarily firm fixed price type contracts going away from the cost plus type contracts. And, you know, those have opportunities as long as you execute for gross margin expansion. So we're really excited about the future of what we do with SciTech. And don't count us out in terms of upside opportunities of taking SciTech algorithms and deploy it to space as well, because the name of the game in national security is... To be faster than the adversary's OODA loop, and by bringing things to orbit and doing things with lower latencies, we can be within the adversary's OODA loop.
Very helpful. Thank you, Jason. I'll turn it over.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Leshock with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed.
Hey, good afternoon. I just wanted to ask on, you know, given how constrained the launch supply-demand market is today and for the foreseeable future, particularly just thinking about Falcon 9 sunsetting over the coming years, and then also given the prices that medium-lift vehicles are commanding in the market today for the latter part of this decade, has that changed your pricing approach at all for future Eclipse or Alpha launch agreements?
Yeah, absolutely. You know, we're seeing the most highly constrained launch supply environment ever, and we've got a lot of inbounds. As you see, we signed two alpha contracts with Sweden, as well as up to 10 with suspected from Japan and another confidential hypersonic. So we're seeing that demand turn into actual contracts. And the pricing power is there. When you look at our Victus Sol mission that we signed with the Space Force previously, that was a $22 million contract. And we're seeing things with upside opportunities beyond on the higher than those prices. You know, lately. And so we do see that on our alpha missions, which are very, very uniquely suited for national security, like hypersonic test launches, as well as technically responsive space launches and, and other, in terms of Eclipse, we are heads down. And this deal that we did with AST, it's really a win-win, because what it does is inject capital that is helping our Eclipse program at the same time as helping AST. And so we're going to be ramping up our Miranda production and, you know, also our production of Eclipse in general with the additional engineering and manufacturing supply chain stuff, the injection of a hardware rich. Long-lead materials buys, optimal equipment, as well as more integration and test capacity. So all that is going to help us get Eclipse up and running as soon as possible because the demand is so high. And we do see that the demand affords higher pricing for medium lift as well.
Great. And then on the AST agreement, the release had said it was, you know, non-competitive by design and purpose-built for AST's payloads. I'm just curious if you could give any color on the formal restrictions on how the engines and IP can be used and what's in place there. Is BlackLift only allowed to launch its own internal ASC payloads, or is there potentially some reality where they could become another launch provider for the commercial market over the long term? Just any clarity on that would be great. Thank you.
Yeah, it's important to note that Firefly retains ownership of our core intellectual property. And that's Miranda. While ASP focuses solely on launching its own constellation, you know, they have a great business of direct-to-mobile constellations, and they're going to ramp up continuously. And because they're ramping up their proliferated constellation, they need to basically control their launch schedule and their capacity. And so I see them being laser focused on launching their own constellations while we are unwavering in terms of launch. Capability of our Eclipse rocket for commercial and government customers. And so it's truly a strategic transformational deal. It's a win-win. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from Seth Sifman with J.P. Morgan. Please proceed.
Alex
Analyst — J.P. Morgan
Yeah. Hey, guys. This is Alex on for Seth. Good afternoon. Hey, Alex. Hey, Alex. Hey, so wanted to ask, I guess no one's really directly asked about this yet, but, and get that you guys, you know, don't really want to share specific plans on how to think about, you know, Alpha Rockets launch cadence next year. But you guys have kind of outlined that, say, the next five or so Alpha Rockets are under various stages of production. You know, curious if everything kind of goes according to plan, is that, you know, maybe a reasonable baseline to think about, about how many launches you could do next year? And then off of that, thinking about this AST deal, how much does the capital that you guys are getting from them potentially help accelerate your ability to do launches next year?
Hey, Seth. I just will give you a data point just from today. Within three hours today at our rocket ranch, which is all co-located, vertically integrated with our test stands, We ripped a bunch of engine tests. Two Reavers were hot fired today. One Lightning was hot fired. One Miranda qualification was hot fired as well. This was all within three hours of each other today. And so you could see that our test capabilities are just ramped up. And then when you look at Alpha Block 2, the whole point of the upgrade was to make it more manufacturable and reliable. And so that's being seen and manifested on the factory floor. So if you look at building three, we've got flight eight and flight nine there for integration, finishing off integration. Flight eight is getting ready, prepared for shipping to Vandenberg. Flight nine is getting all the reaver engines and lightning engines assembled to integrate. And then flight 10, all the composite structures are approved, fast proof testing. Flight 11, composites are finishing up. Flight 12, the composites are starting up. We've got 24 Reaver engine chambers that are in flow right now. That's about six ship sets right there. And this is all within the fourth quarter. So we're really excited about going forward, building upon that success. We opened up our Cortex feeder line for all the avionics and harnessing as well. So that's ramping up. So everything is humming in our production factory floor. And the test capabilities are also ramped up, as I mentioned before. And then in addition to that, we've upgraded Vandenberg for Block 2. We're, yeah, I just was at Wallace, Virginia earlier this year. And we're making progress there with all the different components of that launch pad. And then Sweden, I was there earlier this year as well. And same thing, we're making a lot of progress there. So, we're just ramping up in all areas.
Alex
Analyst — J.P. Morgan
Great. Glad to hear. And then, you know, maybe as a quick follow-up with respect to Eclipse, is the expectation that you guys will still, you know, get the first launch there in 2027? I know you guys are talking about, you know, starting the Miranda engine qualification process. Like, maybe if there's anything more specific on you guys that you guys could say on, you know, what you still have to do there and, you know, maybe beyond that, what are kind of like the, you know, final long pulls in the tent in terms of, you know, being able to finally do an Eclipse launch.
Yeah, as I mentioned before, we're heads down on Eclipse. You know, we're laser focused on delivering the first stage to our code developer, Northrop Grumman. And, you know, we're over 175 hot fires on Miranda. You know, count the one from today. And, you know, we're looking at all the data, verifying the capability. It's a very mature engine. And, you know, we're very confident in its capabilities. We're building ahead the flight engines as well. And so everything is just laser focused on, you know, all the milestones in terms of qualifying Miranda and qualifying our composite tanks and fluid systems as well. So we're really, really just excited about the future of Eclipse, especially with this injection of... Capital that will help accelerate our production line.
Alex
Analyst — J.P. Morgan
Great. Thanks very much.
Operator
Thank you. One moment for our next question. That comes from the line of Griffin Boss with Be Rightly Securities. Please proceed.
Yeah, this is actually Mike Crawford from B-Rival Securities. But just further on Eclipse, your partner at ASTS is building a simpler rocket by design to only go to LEO versus Eclipse can go all the way to translunar injection. But is there a reason why they would be using a three-stage rocket if it's supposed to be a simpler rocket versus the two-stage Eclipse?
Yeah, hey, Mike, you know, that's AST's design. They are responsible for the overall design of their BlackLift rocket. We're, as we mentioned before, providing the IP for the Miranda engines as well as providing the first three shipsets of 36 engines to them for those first three launches. There's some engineering services as well that we're going to provide to them, but that is ASP's design. They are focused on, you know, mass of their Constellations of the Bluebirds on each launch. That's why they're focused on what they have in terms of their three-stage design. Whereas, you know, for our Eclipse rocket, you know, we're building the railroad to the moon. And so we're looking at a number of different missions for commercial and government customers to include, you know, moon missions as well. So that's why we have a different stage design.
Okay. Thank you, Jason. And then just regarding ELECTRA, could you maybe help compare and contrast some of its RPO and maneuverability abilities versus competitors like True Anomaly Jackal or Quantum Space Scout or Turian, et cetera?
Yeah, a lot of the fundamental technologies that made the Blue Ghost Mission 1 successful, all the way from the seven major burns that we had to do through translunar injection, all the way to low lunar orbit, and then finally breaking and maneuvering and descending softly onto the moon's surface. A lot of those things are things that are also built into our Electra spacecraft and provide us heritage. And as you know, we traversed. Through many days, 45 days through LEO, NEO, Geo, Syslunar, all the way to the moon. So we have heritage in all those orbits. What I would say is that the capabilities that Electra affords is a lot of fuel. We have chemical propulsion systems. So there's a lot of fuel that we can carry on board. We use carbon composites for our primary and secondary structures, which means you can put more into the mission payload. And so we have a system that not only is maneuverable with precise millimeter per second kind of precision of thrust. But we also have a lot of lightweight structural technology that allows us to carry more mission payload capability, like optics, like camera systems, and other systems that can help with space domain awareness. We also acquired SpaceNG earlier this year, and their autonomous navigation camera system allows us to perform a lot of autonomous maneuvers, including RPO, and so it's a really great capability that has flight heritage and can operate in all the different orbits, and as I mentioned before, you know, the moon is the ultimate high ground, and so everything Everything is moving more towards this lunar space. And, you know, the Space Force is going to need more space domain awareness in that area, and we already have capability that has been proven in that area. In addition to that, we signed some really great commercial hosted options like StarCloud, and now we're providing AI from our Electra spacecraft as well. So, really excited about Electra's future.
All right. Thank you. Thank you, Jason.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from David Strauss with Wells Fargo. Please proceed.
Speaker 9
Hey, this is Ben Tomek, going for David. Could you guys just talk about how should we think about the cash burn for the full year and into 2027, and how much incremental capex should we expect related to the AST agreement?
Yeah. Hey, you know, as I mentioned earlier, as part of the AST agreement, we're going to be making some, you know, significant investments into R&D, CapEx, and infrastructure as we expand our production facilities and everything. And, you know, that's not only benefits AST, but also complementary to the production, as Jason mentioned, for other customers on Eclipse. So, I mean, we'll be making those investments. As part of that, you know, we could expect cash burn to tick up through next year as part of this contract. Got it.
Speaker 9
And then switching back to CLIPS, I think you mentioned how there were still additional CLIPS 1.0 opportunities still out there. How should we think about the timing for that and then when those initial CLIPS 2.0 awards should be coming in?
I think there's at least three outstanding opportunities there. One was an opportunity that could be awarded in the fourth quarter, as early as the fourth quarter, and that's for a far side South Pole mission. We're really excited about that mission because we are going to the far side in our next Riders to the Dark mission next year. And so a lot of the underlying con ops and technology that is built into that system is really transferable to this new opportunity as well. We're super excited about hearing back on the results of that competition. And then there's a second. We have a mission that is looking for lunar surface imaging, and it's very akin to our existing commercial Ocula service that is also going to fly on our second mission to the far side of the moon called Rise to the Dark, specifically our Ocula service. That's where we put a camera on our Electra transfer vehicle, and we're going to be able to image the moon and sell the data commercially. Well, the bid that is outstanding from NASA that is in front of us is for a service like that, to do lunar high-resolution imaging as a commercial service. And then there's a third landing mission as well that will most likely come out early first quarter of next year to be awarded in 2027. So those are the three outstanding that I mentioned. Great, thanks.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Anthony Valentini with Barclays. Please proceed.
Hey, guys. Thanks for the question. When AST came to you guys to start the conversations here, did they start out with just wanting to procure launches from you like any other customer? So it seems as if, like, you know, I've seen the slides, there's a bullet that says it gives them their, you know, their control over the launch schedule. But, you know, you guys know how hard launch is and that there's delays that happen pretty consistently. And so wouldn't that get them to market quicker? Or are there more things at play with, you know, how that decision was made?
I think ASP is a very innovative company, and that's why this led to a blockbuster deal of this non-dolutive funding to basically accelerate our core launch services business. Especially when it comes to Eclipse, given we share the Miranda engine with the BlackLift launch vehicle. Now, every single launch vehicle program, the hardest part about it is the rocket engine development. And because Miranda is so mature and we're going through qualification and we've done so many hot fire tests and over 4,200 cumulative seconds of hot fire testing on it, it really accelerates things for a new rocket, starting with a mature rocket engine such as Miranda. And so, you know, it's truly a win-win in terms of, you know, we get to productionize our Eclipse program, and, you know, the Blacklist gets these very mature rocket engines, and we're going to start off by delivering the first three ship sets. And so, you know, this is a win-win.
Okay, that's helpful and makes sense. I guess as I'm looking at this, you know, it seems like, you know, this is this is a good deal. And I guess I'm wondering if there's anything that you guys had to give up, right? If I'm looking at, you know, the engine IP license, should I be thinking about that as if, you know, AST in the future does 50 launches, they can make the engines on their own, and there isn't revenue that's associated with that, because they're paying you for, you know, the $400 million cash up front. For the license, and so like that's what you'd be giving up for that cash up front, or is there something else?
Yeah, I just wanted to highlight that this does not change our identity or our business model. We're still going to be producing Eclipse, and we're going to be able to service all the government and commercial customers that, you know, we've been engaging with. AST is going to eventually build the Miranda engines themselves and be able to use it for their BlackLift launch vehicle and support their laser focus on launching as many Bluebirds for their direct-to-mobile constellations.
Speaker 9
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Colin Canfield with Cantor. Please proceed.
Okay. Thanks for the question. So as I think about the AST deal and in terms of working capital dynamics, can you just maybe walk through how you think about AST funding to flow through in terms of the geography of the cash flow statement? And whether or not that's going to show up in working capital versus financing cash flow. And then if you could also talk about kind of other key areas of working capital upside that you think through the year, whether that's upsized clips one, faster, you know, always and clips two, or other launch areas that you think are particularly favorable. Thank you.
Hey, Colin. Yeah, it's actually both. When you talk about where the cash flow is going to flow, this deal is part cash and part equity. When you look at it, we've got essentially $400 million in cash and 10 to 14 million shares of AST Class A common stock. And then the remainder of it, services are $250 million. We look at delivery engines at $250 million. So everything other than the equity will be. We'll be flowing through operating cash for us. And then your second question around, yeah, we always expect to, we think we're really well positioned to win additional Clips contracts. Those have been pretty additive for us from a cash flow perspective in the past, and I think we're really well positioned for it.
Got it. And as you think about kind of like cash flow inflection, this obviously helping 2027 a lot and kind of the equity re-rating, how do you think about kind of future M&A targets, but between launch and especially some of the kind of legacy assets in launch or increasing your spacecraft business and maybe, you know, intelligence or comms, propulsion, what have you? Thanks.
Yeah, Colin, you know, we have a multi-year strategy, and we're just executing it, and you saw that with, you know, the investments in the Lunderlander business even before it became popular, and then the SciTech acquisition to get us into data center work, as well as all the AI defense software. You know, we're ramping up both our Alpha and Eclipse production as well. That's a moat. You know, the launch is a moat. It allows us to launch these great services that are being provided by our lunar landers and our electro-orbiting spacecraft. And as we, you know, become more We're autonomous. In terms of our constellations on orbit, we're going to be able to provide that app store on demand from space. And so, we're just following that strategy, and part of that strategy is in M&A. We have a robust pipeline of M&A targets. So, you know, it's just executing this multi-year strategy.
Operator
And for our next question please. It comes from Sujit De Silva with Roth Capital. Please proceed.
Speaker 9
Hi, Jason. Hi, Darren. Congratulations on all the progress here. For the Forge products, it sounds like you're targeting multiple areas, obviously air-moving missiles today with what you demo in New York, but future ground-moving and then space domain. Jason, I'm wondering if the products that would support those other opportunities are already developed or are in development, just to understand the timeframe when you might be able to monetize those.
Yeah, I mean, think about the 45 years of algorithm development to support all national security and multi-domains. You heard about missile warning, missile tracking, you heard about space domain awareness. At the end of the day, it's all about tracking needles in the haystack, subtracting the, you know, the contrast from the backgrounds, and finding and tracking and taking custody of those hard, dimmed targets. And so a lot of the algorithms are transferable. From one mission to another, the phenomenologies are something that SciTech is really good at because they have the scientists co-located with the software developers. So if you know the phenomenology better, you know how to develop the algorithms and process the data better from the sensors. And so the short answer is, yes, a lot of these algorithms are transferable, you know. SciTech has a lot of R&D that's being developed and constantly transitioning to operations. That's one of the benefits of the FORGE program. And also, you heard about the FEAST program. It allows us to battle test our algorithms and get them really hardened. And then once they are, we could deploy them to other mission areas.
Operator
Thank you. One moment for our next question. That comes from the line of Ryan Koontz with Needham and Company. Please proceed.
Great. Thanks for the question. You know, relative to gross margins, I'm going to appreciate the AST Miranda deals. It's going to be a nice tailwind there, it sounds like, for several years.
Speaker 9
Remind us how we should think about gross margins in launch relative to scaling alpha. Andy Clips. I know there are different REVREC models, but if you can remind us, Darren, how we think about gross margin on those two programs, it'd be great. Thank you.
Hey, Ryan. Yeah, so with gross margin, right now, until alpha reaches technical feasibility, the cost for it is expense in the R&D, and as it reaches technical feasibility, those costs will be So, it goes into production from that perspective. Same thing for Eclipse follows a similar pattern as well.
Operator
One moment for our next question. It comes from the line of Chris Quilty with Quilty Space.
Speaker 9
Thanks, guys. I missed it. Could you repeat what the 2027 launch forecast was? Just kidding, actually. Actually, just to follow up on something that you said on the last call, I think you're relying on Northrop Grumman for your NSSL certification, but given the fact that their MLV is different than your Eclipse, is that a separate certification that you would have to do, or is that lane reserved just for Northrop?
Thanks, Chris. Yeah, we're laser-focused head-down on, you know, qualifying our Miranda engines and our tanks and our primary structure. It's a first stage that's usable on both of those vehicles. You know, we've been pretty steadfast on when we're going to be ready to launch before we onboard onto National Security Space Launch Program. We want to be able to look the customer in the eye and say, hey, we're launching in this year when we onboard, and so that's where we're focused, and having Northrop Grumman co-develop this with us. We're very confident it's an American-made rocket that will meet standards of National Security Space Launch as well as NASA for the Space Force for NASA. You know, we want to be able to deploy a broad range of payloads for those kind of critical missions because I used to build a lot of those critical missions, and I know how important it is to deploy those into the right mission-unique orbits.
Operator
Thank you, and ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude our Q&A session. I will turn it back to Michael for closing remarks.
Speaker 11
Thank you all for attending today's call. We look forward to speaking to you again when we report our fourth quarter earnings results, and we look forward to meeting with you at many of our upcoming investor conferences on the road. Talk soon.
Operator
Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.