RDW · Redwire Corp
$10.60
+0.16 (+1.53%)
At close · Oct 1
Return incl. dividend (before tax)
Market Cap
$2.90B
Shares
249.99M
Volume · Sep 30
11.94M
Avg daily vol (3M)
15.03M
Price & Indicators
20d MA
50d MA
200d MA
Earnings
Filing
Insider
Congress
Investor day
Close$10.44
Open$10.86
Day$10.44–11.35
52W close$5.06–25.90
Avg vol 30d12.3M
Short int42.7M · 17.1% float · 3.8d
Short vol45%
Last earningsAug 6, 2026
DataJan 2021–Sep 2026
Filing10-Q · Aug 6
Up next
Next earnings call
Nov 5, 2026
Est · unconfirmed
· in 5 wks
filed Aug 6, 2026
call held Aug 6, 2026
Metrics snapshot
Useful current figures from the complete screener profile.
Revenue (TTM)
$426.27M
Trailing 12 months
Net income (TTM)
−$244.10M
Trailing 12 months
Revenue growth YoY
+89.6%
Year over year
Operating margin
-50.5%
Trailing 12 months
P / E (TTM)
—
Trailing earnings
FCF yield
-3.4%
TTM · current market cap
Return on invested capital
—
Trailing 12 months
Net cash
$508.91M
Latest balance sheet
Dividend yield
—
Trailing 12 months
Shares change YoY
+146.2%
Year over year · more shares
Price change (1Y)
+20.2%
Trailing year
Short interest
17.1%
Latest settlement · 3.8 days to cover
Equibles Research
our published analysis of this company-
Research ThesisRocket Lab's $2.2B backlog makes the bull case bigger than Neutron
Rocket Lab's record Q1 and $2.2B backlog show the bull case no longer rests on Neutron alone. The proposed Iridium merger could add a recurring-services engine, while financing, dilution and execution remain the price of that upside.
-
Research ThesisRocket Lab: Backlog is converting, but the $39B market cap is paying for a Neutron debut the company has yet to validate
Rocket Lab enters Q2 2026 with record backlog of $2,219.8M and guided revenue of $225.0M–$240.0M, yet the stock trades at -55.2% from its $150.23 high on a $39.0B market cap against $679.6M of trailing revenue — a gap the equity-funded growth model and the un-flown Neutron debut have to close.
Equibles Rating
blended score · not investment adviceOverall
Neutral
SellHoldBuy
Technical
Sell
Momentum
Strong
Sentiment
Neutral
Fundamentals
Fair
Quant / Vol
Very High
Market backdrop
VIX 16.3 · calm
Equity put/call 0.53
Technical
price trend
50 / 200-day cross
Golden cross
Price vs 200-day avg
−5%
below
Price vs 50-day avg
−5%
below
RSI (14)
43
neutral
MACD trend
Negative
52-week position
26%
mid-range
Momentum
relative strength
1-month return
+2%
trailing
6-month return
+13%
trailing
YTD return
+37%
this year
Relative strength
+1%
vs S&P · 6-mo
Sentiment
smart money
Trend (MA cross)
Golden cross
50d $11 › 200d $11 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+25% holders QoQ · +123 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$10.5M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
17.06% of float · ▲ +6.1% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
330 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Squeeze score
72
high risk · 0–100
Fundamentals
Revenue growth
+10%
Y/Y
Gross margin
5%
contracting
EPS growth
+3%
Y/Y
Free cash flow
$-190.8M
Balance sheet
$9.3M
net cash
Quant / Vol
risk profile
Volatility
116%
annualized · 1-yr
Max drawdown
−70%
past year
ATR
7.2%
of price · 14-day
Blended from price, momentum, positioning, fundamentals & volatility · daily-close · not investment advice. Market backdrop is context, not part of the score.
Guidance & track record
Latest guidance
· from the Earnings Call filed Aug 6, 2026
Full year of 2026 revenue forecast
· full year of 2026
Initiated
$450M – $500M
prior FY $335.38M
midpoint +41.6% Y/Y
Guided vs delivered
· last 2 settled
Revenues
full year ended December 31, 2024
guided $300M
$304.1M
Beat +1.4%
Revenues
full year ended December 31, 2023
guided $220M – $250M
$243.8M
In line
Guidance from company 8-Ks · delivered figures from as-reported statements · no analyst estimates involved.
Technicals
trend & momentum for long-term holders Sell
50 / 200-day cross
Golden cross
Bullish
Price vs 200-day avg
−5%
Bearish
Price vs 50-day avg
−5%
Bearish
RSI (14)
43
Neutral
MACD trend
Negative
Bearish
52-week position
26%
Neutral
Market signals — smart money & positioning
Bullish · 3 of 6
Trend (MA cross)
Golden cross
50d $11 › 200d $11 — 50d above 200d
Institutional flow
Accumulating
+25% holders QoQ · +123 funds added
Insider flow
Distributing
Net -$10.5M over 90 days · 100% sells
Short interest
Rising
17.06% of float · ▲ +6.1% MoM · 3.8 days cover
Volume signal
Normal
Volume near normal
Institution breadth
Multi-yr high
330 holders — near 3-yr high, broad support
Price context
position in its 52-week range
Range low $5
Now $10 · 26%
Range high $26
vs 200-day avg -5%
vs 50-day avg -5%
50-day above 200-day golden cross
Illustrative technical + ownership context — a signal mix, not investment advice.
Key metrics
the company's own KPIs, from written earnings releases and filings| Metric | Latest | Period | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA non-GAAP | -$3.23M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Adjusted EPS non-GAAP | -$0.09 | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Book-to-bill ratio | 1.42 | the three months ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Book-to-bill ratio (Defense Tech) | 2.35 | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Book-to-bill ratio (Space) | 0.37 | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Contracts awarded (Defense Tech) | $145.14M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Contracts awarded (Space) | $20.65M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Contracts awarded (Total) | $165.79M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Gross favorable EAC adjustments | $7.74M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Gross unfavorable EAC adjustments | -$7.74M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Reportable Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Defense Tech) non-GAAP | $14.08M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Reportable Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Space) non-GAAP | -$4.2M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Reportable Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Total) non-GAAP | $9.88M | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
| Total net EAC adjustments impact to gross profit | $4K | Three Months Ended June 30, 2026 filing | — |
Figures exactly as the company stated them in writing · click a metric with a to chart its history · period links open the stating document · "filing" marks figures stated in the 10-K/10-Q · YoY needs an exactly comparable prior-year period
Versus peers
Aerospace & Defense — same industry group| Company | Mkt cap | YTD | Rev growth Y/Y | P/E | Short % shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RDW
this stock
Redwire Corp
|
$2.90B | +37.4% | +10.3% | — | 17.1% |
|
SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp
|
$1.96T | — | — | — | 1.2% |
|
GE
General Electric Co
|
$339.38B | +1.4% | +18.5% | 38.5 | 1.5% |
|
RTX
RTX Corp
|
$255.27B | +1.2% | +17.1% | 33.4 | 1.0% |
|
EADSF
Airbus SE/ADR
|
$174.13B | -7.8% | — | — | 0.1% |
Peers by industry group · P/E from as-reported trailing EPS · short % is of shares outstanding
At a glance
key data from every sectionOwnership
Short & Settlement
Smart Money
Financials
Filings
Earnings & Events
Performance
| 5D | 20D | 120D | MTD | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDW | -7.4% | +1.8% | +13.2% | -2.4% | +37.4% |
| SPY | -0.7% | +0.1% | +12.2% | -0.6% | +11.8% |
| vs SPY | -6.7% | +1.6% | +1.1% | -1.9% | +25.5% |
Key facts
CIK
1819810
CUSIP
75776W103
13F (30d)
10 filings
9 filers
Visit website
Investor relations