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AFL · Aflac Inc

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$121.45 +0.35 (+0.29%) At close · Aug 14
Market Cap
$61.01B
Shares
501.34M
All earnings calls

Earnings call · FY2025 Q4

Aflac Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Aflac Inc Q4 FY2025 Earnings Call

Concluded Feb 4, 2026 Audio replay
Feb 4, 2026 57:20 56 turns
Period
FY2025 Q4
Runtime
57:20
Sources
5 artifacts

Executive readout · one minute

What matters this quarter

Aflac reported Q4 2025 net earnings of $1.4 billion ($2.64 diluted EPS) and adjusted EPS of $1.57, up 0.6% year-over-year, while Japan sales rose 15.7% for the quarter and 16% for the full year on the back of the new Miraito cancer product.

Japan Earned Premium and Persistency 35 Benefit Ratio and Underwriting Experience 33 U.S. Sales and Premium Growth 19 Capital Deployment and Shareholder Returns 18 Japan Sales Growth and Product Launches 17 AI Initiatives and Operational Efficiency 13

Management tone

Confident

Net tone +62 · low hedging

Grounding quotes
  • “I am very pleased with Aflac Japan sales increase of 15.7% for the fourth quarter and 16% for 2025.”
  • “I am very pleased with the company's financial strength, which supports our capital deployment, including the Board's decision to increase the first quarter of 2026 dividend by 5.2%.”
  • “Overall, we view these results in the quarter as solid.”
  • “We generated nearly $1.6 billion in new sales in 2025, over 1/3 of which came from the fourth quarter.”

Forward guidance

10 guided metrics

Management's latest ranges and targets are included below.

Research coverage

5 live sources

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Revenue · derived Q4 $4.87B -10% YoY
Net income · derived Q4 $1.38B -27.5% YoY

Research materials

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Key takeaways

What improved, and what deserves a closer read.

Constructive signals

  • Adjusted EPS of $1.57 grew 0.6% year-over-year; full-year adjusted EPS reached $7.49
  • Japan sales rose 15.7% in Q4 and 16% for 2025, with cancer insurance sales up 35.6% on the Miraito launch
  • Japan persistency remained strong at 93.1% and the Japan benefit ratio improved 150 bps to 65%
  • Aflac U.S. generated nearly $1.6 billion in new sales for 2025 and increased net earned premium 2.9% with 79.2% persistency
  • Board increased the Q1 2026 dividend by 5.2%, extending the 43-year streak of dividend increases
  • Aflac returned nearly $4.8 billion to shareholders in 2025, including a record $3.5 billion of share repurchases

Risks & pressure points

  • Total revenues fell to $4.9 billion in Q4 from $5.4 billion a year ago
  • Q4 net earnings per diluted share declined to $2.64 from $3.42 a year ago
  • Adjusted earnings of $818 million were down 5.4% from $865 million in Q4 2024
  • Japan net earned premiums declined 1.9% in yen and underlying earned premiums declined 1.2%, with management guiding to negative 1% to negative 2% for 2026
  • Japan expense ratio rose 120 bps year-over-year to 22%
  • Variable investment income ran $12 million below long-term return expectations in the quarter

Key moments

Jump directly to management's words in the synchronized transcript.

“These strong sales results were driven largely by the remarkable 35.6% sales increase, mainly due to Miraito, our latest cancer insurance product launched in March.” Daniel Amos, Chairman
“In 2025, Aflac Incorporated deployed a record $3.5 billion to repurchase 33 million shares of our stock and paid dividends of $1.2 billion. We treasure our 43 consecutive years of dividend increases and remain committed to extending this record.” Daniel Amos, Chairman

Forward guidance

From the 8-K filed Feb 4, 2026.

Metric Guided
Expense Ratio
2026
20% – 23%
Pretax Profit Margin
2026
17% – 20%
Underlying earned premiums
2026
-2% – -1%
Expense Ratio (Aflac Japan)
2026
20% – 23%
Benefit Ratio (Aflac Japan)
2026
60% – 63%
Net earned premiums (Aflac U.S.)
2026
3% – 6%
Pretax Profit Margin (Aflac Japan)
2026
33% – 36%
Benefit Ratio (Aflac U.S.)
2026
48% – 52%
Expense Ratio (Aflac U.S.)
2026
36% – 39%
Pretax Profit Margin (Aflac U.S.)
2026
17% – 20%

Quarter detail

How the reported period landed and where the business moved.

Capital returned

Buybacks · derived
$801.00M
Dividend / share
$0.61
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